Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2608 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Today

AS 2608 · ONT → HNL

departs 2:02 PM PT · arrives 4:58 PM HT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 4.0 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from ONT are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT

Weather at each end

ONT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip4.00 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2608 · ONT → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?