Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2608 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

AS 2608 · ONT → HNL

departs 2:03 PM PT · arrives 5:09 PM HT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ 2pm departures from ONT are often late

↑ Arrivals into HNL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

Weather at each end

ONT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2608 · ONT → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?