tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 509 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AS 509 · SEA → MSP

departs 12:57 PM PT · arrives 6:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.7d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSP?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.