AS 7005 · ANC → JNU

departs 4:27 AM AKT · arrives 6:22 AM AKDT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at JNU more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JNU?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JNU (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7005 · ANC → JNU

Odds over time

How late will it get to JNU?