Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 7005 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 30

AS 7005 · ANC → JNU

departs 4:31 AM AKT · arrives 6:24 AM AKDT

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at JNU more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JNU?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt forecast at ANC that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into JNU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts37 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.20 in

JNU (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7005 · ANC → JNU

Odds over time

How late will it get to JNU?