Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 126 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

AV 126 · BOG → MIA

departs 7:36 AM -05 · arrives 12:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOG

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BOG (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,633 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AV 126 · BOG → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?