tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 4912 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AV 4912 · BOG → MIA

departs 7:11 AM -05 · arrives 12:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.3d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    83%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.