Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1098
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 1098 · MCO → LGA
departs 5:15 PM ET · arrives 8:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 39%
Fri 10/30 69%
Sat 10/31 36%
Sun 11/1 58%
Mon 11/2 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
8%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.36 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.