Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1098
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
B6 1098 · MCO → LGA
departs 5:15 PM ET · arrives 8:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Wed 10/28 35%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 69%
Sat 10/31 36%
Sun 11/1 58%
Mon 11/2 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.