Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1934
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
B6 1934 · SJU → MCO
departs 4:20 PM AT · arrives 7:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 37%
Fri 10/30 30%
Sat 10/31 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
9%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.