B6 2152 · SJU → TPA

departs 6:57 PM AT · arrives 10:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU

Weather at each end

SJU (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2152 · SJU → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?