Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2152
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 2152 · SJU → TPA
departs 6:40 PM AT · arrives 9:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 34%
Sat 10/31 35%
Sun 11/1 35%
Mon 11/2 29%
Tue 11/3 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at SJU that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.