Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 798
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
B6 798 · MCO → LGA
departs 7:12 PM ET · arrives 9:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 44%
Fri 10/30 53%
Sun 11/1 62%
Mon 11/2 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 49% of the time recently
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.