Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 798
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 798 · MCO → LGA
departs 7:12 PM ET · arrives 9:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 53%
Sun 11/1 62%
Mon 11/2 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 49% of the time recently
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.