Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 827
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 827 · FLL → MBJ
departs 1:14 PM ET · arrives 2:09 PM EST
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30 23%
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MBJ more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MBJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at MBJ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MBJ?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↑
1pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into MBJ at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,967 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
MBJ (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.