Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 827
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
B6 827 · FLL → MBJ
departs 1:14 PM ET · arrives 2:08 PM EST
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Wed 10/28 19%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 23%
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MBJ more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MBJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MBJ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MBJ?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MBJ (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.