Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 866
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
B6 866 · FLL → BUF
departs 9:00 PM ET · arrives 12:09 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 40%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 33%
Fri 10/30 43%
Sat 10/31 34%
Sun 11/1 44%
Mon 11/2 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
Arrivals into BUF at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,967 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
BUF (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.