Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 866
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
B6 866 · FLL → BUF
departs 8:59 PM ET · arrives 12:08 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Wed 10/28 28%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 43%
Sat 10/31 34%
Sun 11/1 44%
Mon 11/2 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.