Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

CARIBBEAN AIRLINES · FLIGHT BW 483 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

BW 483 · MIA → POS

departs 3:17 PM ET · arrives 7:06 PM AST

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at POS more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to POS?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↑ 3pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at POS

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

POS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BW 483 · MIA → POS

Odds over time

How late will it get to POS?