Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
CARIBBEAN AIRLINES · FLIGHT BW 484
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
BW 484 · POS → MIA
departs 9:11 AM AST · arrives 1:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 25%
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave POS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at POS
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
POS (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 2,967 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.