Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
CARIBBEAN AIRLINES · FLIGHT BW 8043
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
BW 8043 · KIN → MIA
departs 3:21 AM EST · arrives 6:23 AM ET
Your aircraft is N649GT (B763), coming in as BW 8042 from MIA: still at MIA, due off about 1:10 AM ET, 106 min before departure.
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 60%
Wed 10/28
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
29%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.2d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave KIN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
KIN (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 8.8 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.