Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1042
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 1042 · MSP → AUS
departs 2:20 PM CT · arrives 5:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30 27%
Sun 11/1 32%
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↑
2pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.19 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.