Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1218 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

DL 1218 · AUS → DTW

departs 12:00 PM CT · arrives 4:02 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at AUS that day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.02 in

DTW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1218 · AUS → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?