Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1790
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 1790 · HAV → MIA
departs 4:36 PM CDT · arrives 5:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30 36%
Sat 10/31 28%
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave HAV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HAV
Weather at each end
HAV (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 4 mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.