DL 2103 · MSP → LAX

took off 10:05 PM CT · landed 11:34 PM PT (scheduled 9:59 PM CT → 11:53 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at MSP that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.06 in

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2103 · MSP → LAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAX?