Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2203
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 2203 · DTW → MSP
departs 4:20 PM ET · arrives 5:12 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 28%
Fri 10/30 27%
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↑
4pm departures from DTW are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.