Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2237
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 2237 · FAR → MSP
departs 5:00 AM CT · arrives 6:10 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 7%
Fri 10/30 7%
Sat 10/31 13%
Sun 11/1 9%
Mon 11/2 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.2d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from FAR are usually not late
Weather at each end
FAR (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.