Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2392
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 2392 · JAX → MSP
departs 3:10 PM ET · arrives 5:18 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30 23%
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±5 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.