Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2400
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 2400 · RSW → MSP
departs 2:32 PM ET · arrives 5:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 18%
Fri 10/30 17%
Sat 10/31 23%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±4 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at RSW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at MSP that day
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.