Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2487 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

DL 2487 · MSP → YYC

departs 10:30 AM CT · arrives 12:30 PM MDT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at YYC more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YYC?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of snow forecast at YYC that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 10am departures from MSP are often late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ YYC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.19 in

YYC (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2487 · MSP → YYC

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYC?