Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2489
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 2489 · YYC → MSP
departs 1:41 PM MDT · arrives 5:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 20%
Fri 10/30 19%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 19%
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of snow forecast at YYC that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
YYC (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.06 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.