Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2574
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 2574 · SAV → MSP
departs 5:16 PM ET · arrives 7:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 23%
Fri 10/30 24%
Sat 10/31 22%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SAV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at MSP that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAV
Weather at each end
SAV (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.