Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2656
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 2656 · MSP → IAH
departs 7:05 AM CT · arrives 9:59 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 9%
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 22%
Sun 11/1 14%
Mon 11/2 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.23 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.