Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2907
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 2907 · MSO → MSP
departs 8:36 AM MT · arrives 12:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 15%
Fri 10/30 17%
Sat 10/31 17%
Sun 11/1 15%
Mon 11/2 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSO
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↑
Other factors
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
8am departures from MSO are usually not late
Weather at each end
MSO (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.03 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.