Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8848
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28
DL 8848 · MKE → MIA
departs 6:21 PM CT · arrives 10:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28
Tue 11/3 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
6pm departures from MKE are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE
Weather at each end
MKE (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 11,429 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.