Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ETHIOPIAN · FLIGHT ET 3909 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 28 Today

ET 3909 · DSS → IAH

departs 2:43 PM GMT · arrives 7:29 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

No weather details for this flight yet.

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

ET 3909 · DSS → IAH

Odds over time