Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1418
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
F9 1418 · IAH → MCO
departs 12:26 PM CT · arrives 3:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30 31%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±8 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.