tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

JAPAN AIRLINES · FLIGHT JL 57 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

JL 57 · SFO → NRT

departs 1:44 PM PT · arrives 4:53 PM JST
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Arrive at NRT more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.7d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to NRT?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.