tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

JAPAN AIRLINES · FLIGHT JL 57 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

JL 57 · SFO → NRT

departs 1:44 PM PT · arrives 4:58 PM JST
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Arrive at NRT more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to NRT?

  1. On time or early
    83%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.