Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3460
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
MQ 3460 · FPO → MIA
departs 11:51 AM EDT · arrives 12:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 22%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave FPO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
FPO is busy at that time
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
11am departures from FPO are usually not late
Weather at each end
FPO (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,633 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.