Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3618
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
MQ 3618 · MIA → FPO
departs 10:14 AM ET · arrives 11:10 AM EDT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 13%
Fri 10/30 17%
Sat 10/31 16%
Sun 11/1 17%
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at FPO more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FPO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at FPO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FPO?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from MIA are often late
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↑
MIA is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FPO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,367 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
FPO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.