Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3989
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
MQ 3989 · EIS → MIA
departs 2:05 PM AST · arrives 5:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30 34%
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave EIS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
2pm departures from EIS are usually not late
Weather at each end
EIS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,967 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.