MQ 4205 · DFW → LCH

departs 9:35 PM CT · arrives 11:01 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at LCH more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LCH?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ LCH usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

LCH (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4205 · DFW → LCH

Odds over time

How late will it get to LCH?