Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4214
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
MQ 4214 · GGT → MIA
departs 1:14 PM EDT · arrives 2:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 23%
Fri 10/30 29%
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 23%
Mon 11/2 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave GGT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
GGT is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GGT
Weather at each end
GGT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.