Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4280
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
MQ 4280 · GSO → CLT
departs 7:28 PM ET · arrives 8:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 18%
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 23%
Sun 11/1 17%
Mon 11/2 15%
Tue 11/3 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave GSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
GSO is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
This flight has been late 9% of the time recently
Weather at each end
GSO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip none
CLT (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.