Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 2071
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Today
MX 2071 · MCO → RDU
departs 4:20 PM ET · arrives 6:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 35%
Fri 10/30 30%
Sat 10/31 28%
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±4 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
4pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at RDU that day
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.