Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5016 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Today

OH 5016 · CLT → HPN

departs 6:20 PM ET · arrives 8:29 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HPN?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ 6pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

HPN (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5016 · CLT → HPN

Odds over time

How late will it get to HPN?