OO 3328 · SAN → SBA

took off 12:48 PM PT · landed 1:25 PM PT (scheduled 12:36 PM PT → 1:48 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SBA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SBA

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SBA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3328 · SAN → SBA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SBA?