Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3328
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3328 · SAN → SBA
departs 12:35 PM PT · arrives 1:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 21%
Sun 11/1 26%
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SBA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SBA?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SBA
↓
Arrivals into SBA at that hour are usually not late
↓
OO's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
SBA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,533 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.