Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3870
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
OO 3870 · FSD → MSP
departs 5:02 PM CT · arrives 6:11 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 12%
Fri 10/30 12%
Sat 10/31 19%
Sun 11/1 14%
Mon 11/2 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at MSP that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at FSD that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FSD (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.01 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.